Episode (127)
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Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary
Nov 13, 2024Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If you've read his blog, you know he's one of the most interesting polymathic thinkers alive. I...
@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works
Oct 02, 2024A bonanza on the semiconductor industry and hardware scaling to AGI by the end of the decade. Dylan Patel runs Semianalysis, the leading publication and research firm on AI hardware. Jon Y runs Asiano...
Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin
Sep 18, 2024Unless you understand the history of oil, you cannot understand the rise of America, WW1, WW2, secular stagnation, the Middle East, Ukraine, how Xi and Putin think, and basically anything else that's ...
David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago
Aug 29, 2024I had no idea how wild human history was before chatting with the geneticist of ancient DNA David Reich. Human history has been again and again a story of one group figuring ‘something’ out, and then ...
Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover
Aug 22, 2024Chatted with Joe Carlsmith about whether we can trust power/techno-capital, how to not end up like Stalin in our urge to control the future, gentleness towards the artificial Other, and much more. Che...
Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan
Jul 24, 2024I talked with Patrick McKenzie (known online as patio11) about how a small team he ran over a Discord server got vaccines into Americans' arms: A story of broken incentives, outrageous incompetence, a...
Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change
Jun 26, 2024I chatted with Tony Blair about: - What he learned from Lee Kuan Yew - Intelligence agencies track record on Iraq & Ukraine - What he tells the dozens of world leaders who come seek advice from him - ...
Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles
Jun 11, 2024Here is my conversation with Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop on the $1 million ARC-AGI Prize they're launching today. I did a bunch of socratic grilling throughout, but Francois’s arguments about why ...
Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history
Jun 04, 2024Chatted with my friend Leopold Aschenbrenner on the trillion dollar nationalized cluster, CCP espionage at AI labs, how unhobblings and scaling can lead to 2027 AGI, dangers of outsourcing clusters to...
John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI
May 15, 2024Chatted with John Schulman (cofounded OpenAI and led ChatGPT creation) on how posttraining tames the shoggoth, and the nature of the progress to come... Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spo...